Tottenham are now in a position that a month ago I didn't think we would be. It is now possible to see how many points we are going to need. Anything from 68 to 75 points looks likely. The mamimum points that Spurs can get is 79 points, though very unlikely given our run in. Manchester City can get 77 points, Liverpool and Aston Villa 72. We are now at the point where every game that any side fails to win drops down the possible end of season points
So if we annalyse the games left and put games into two categories that is the games against other top 8 sides, and the games against teams from outside of the top 8. So lets say for instance that all the games against top 8 sides end in a draw and all the other games result in beating the teams outside the top 8, then the final points may look like this:
Tottenham 71
Liverpool 70
Manchester City 69
Aston Villa 68
I think we can just about rule out Aston Villa at this stage, so looking at the crucial matches that could well decide the 4th spot. For Spurs, well every game but the most important being Manchester City as a loss there I think would end our chances. On the other side a win at Sunderland followed by anything more than 4 points in the games against Arsenal, Chelsea, Manchester United and Manchester City would probably secure fourth spot.
Liverpool have a lot to defend and a failure to win any game will see it unlikely thay will get to 4th,their only big game is against Chelsea.
Manchester City have games to come against Spurs, Manchester United, Aston Villa and Arsenal and will probably have to win two of them depending of course if they win against Spurs, a loss to Spurs may end Manchester City's hope.
Nothing is certain at the moment, but I can say that if Tottenham manage to win five out of their last seven, then Champions league football will be at White Hart Lane next season.
